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- What is Ecuador doing to improve its attractiveness?
- Which are the new investment opportunities?
- Are there incentives for foreign investors?
- What is the main risk of investing in Ecuadorian PPPs?
On November 18–20, the Ecuadorian government raised $3 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI) during the “Ecuador Open for Business” forum in Quito.
Ecuador has turned its situation around since the start of the pandemic, which left the country’s finances in disarray. In 2020, the South American nation received just $1.2 billion in FDI. By inviting FDI and improving the business environment, the Guillermo Lasso administration seeks to pump $30 billion into key industries through 50 public-private partnership (PPP) projects.
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What is Ecuador doing to improve its attractiveness?
- A successful COVID-19 vaccination campaign: the government has worked closely with the private sector to reach 75 percent of the population and reopen the economy.
- Fiscal discipline: the government has embarked on a cost-reduction overhaul that aims to slash the current deficit in half, to $2.4 billion, over one year.
- Macroeconomic stability: the country’s international reserves have grown from $5 billion in November 2020 to $8.3 billion in November 2021.
- Leveraging oil prices: according to Barclays, Ecuador’s 2021 deficit could fall to 1 percent, and GDP growth could reach 4 percent.
- Increased legal certainty: President Lasso has issued decrees providing a clearer regulatory framework for oil and mining investments.
- Cutting red tape: a one-stop shop for foreign investors, to be ready in 2022, will digitize and replace procedures with 35 different government entities.
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Which are the new investment opportunities?
During the forum, the Lasso administration unveiled 50 public-private projects across different industries to be funded through FDI.
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Energy
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Unconventional Renewable Energy Plants | Concessionfor 20–30 years | Operational from 2024 |
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Concession periods vary according to the technology: hydroelectric (30 years), eolic and photovoltaic (25), and biomass (20). |
Natural-Gas Power Plant | Concessionfor 25 years | 2-year construction |
|
Capex: $600 million
IRR: 10–15 percent |
Northeastern Oil Transmission System | Concession for 30 years | 3-year construction |
|
Capex: $386 million
IRR: 10–15 percent |
Cardenillo Hydroelectric Dam | Concession for 30 years | 6-year construction |
|
Capex: $1.3 billion
IRR: 10–15 percent |
Santiago Hydroelectric Dam | Concession for 30 years | 6-year construction |
|
Capex: $3 billion
IRR: 10–15 percent |
Sopladora Hydroelectric Plant | Concession for 25 years | In operation |
|
Capex: $1 billion
IRR: 10–15 percent |
Machala Thermogas Station | Concession for 25 years | 2024 |
|
Capex: $600–650 million
IRR: 10–15 percent |
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Hydrocarbons
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Ronda Intracampos II Oilfield | Production Sharing Contract | 4-year exploration
20-year development |
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Capex: $731 million
Average production: 18,000–22,000 bpd |
Sacha’s Block 60 Oilfield | Production Sharing Contract | 4-year exploration
20-year development |
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Capex: $2.88 billion
Average production: 65,000 bpd |
Coastal High-Conversion Oil Refinery | PPP | To be confirmed |
|
Capex + Opex: $4.5 billion |
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Infrastructure
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Loja-Catamayo Highway Expansion | PPP for 30 years | 3-year construction |
|
Capex: $86 million
Toll-based revenue |
Montecristi-La Cadena Highway Redesign | PPP for 30 years | 3-year construction |
|
Capex: $63.9 million
Toll-based revenue |
Esmeraldas Port Station Revamp | PPP for 30 years | 3-year construction |
|
Capex: $109.5 million
Fee-based revenue IRR: 15 percent |
Southern Guayaquil Highway Construction | PPP | To be confirmed |
|
Toll-based income |
Highway Weight-Control System | PPP | In operation |
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Capex: $12 million
Opex: $20 million |
Santo Domingo Logistics Center | PPP for 25 years | 2-year construction |
|
Capex: $53.8 million
Opex: $118.5 million IRR: 17 percent |
National Railway System Modernization | To be confirmed | To be confirmed |
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Fee-based income |
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Real Estate
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Mastodontes Residential Complex | PPP for 14 years | 1-year construction |
|
Capex: $175.1 million
IRR: 17.59 percent |
Public Housing Development | PPP | 5-year leasing with purchase option |
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For rent and sale |
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Mining
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Sigchos Deposit | Joint venture, mining-rights transfer, and production | 10-year exploration |
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10,850 hectares
Porphyry copper–gold deposits |
Unacota Deposit | Joint venture, mining-rights transfer, and production | 10-year exploration |
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Limestone
2,747 hectares |
La Tronera Deposit | Joint venture, mining-rights transfer, and production | 10-year exploration |
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Limestone
162 hectares |
Isimanchi Deposit | Joint venture, mining-rights transfer, and production | 10-year exploration |
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Limestone
225 hectares |
Cascabel Mine | Mining license holder: SolGold | 2-year valuation | Economic valuation | Porphyry copper-gold-silver mine
4,979 hectares Capex: $10–10.5 billion IRR: 25.7–26.5 percent Lifetime: 49 years |
Cangrejos Mine | Mining license holder: Lumina | 4-year exploration | Advanced exploration | Porphyry copper-gold mine
6,283 hectares Capex: $1.9 billion IRR: 16.2 percent Lifetime: 25 years |
La Plata Mine | Mining license holder: Atico | 4-year exploration | Advanced exploration | Porphyry copper-gold-silver-zinc deposit
2,235 hectares Capex: $117.8 million IRR: 24 percent Lifetime: 9 years |
Curipamba Mine | Mining license holder: Curimining | 4-year exploration | Advanced exploration | VMS copper-gold deposit
2,235 hectares Capex: $289.2 million IRR: 40.5 percent Lifetime: 15 years |
Waritza Mine | Mining license holder: Solaris | 4-year exploration | Initial exploration | Porphyry copper-molybdenum mine |
Rumiñahui Mine | Mining license holder: Adventus | 4-year exploration | Initial exploration | Gold and copper mine |
Blanca Mine | Mining license holder: Carnegie Ridge Resources | 4-year exploration | Initial exploration | Epithermal gold-copper mine
7,300 hectares |
La Hueca Mine | Mining license holder: Cruz de Sol | 4-year exploration | Initial exploration | Porphyry gold-copper mine
16,000 hectares |
Condor Mine | Mining license holder: Luminex | 4-year exploration | Initial exploration | Porphyry and epithermal gold-copper mine |
Ciudades Perdidas Mine | Mining licensee holder: Aurania | 4-year exploration | Initial exploration | Sedimentary and epithermal gold-zinc-copper mine |
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Telecommunications
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Internet Community Centers | Delegation for 5 years | 3-year execution |
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Capex: $10.9 million
IRR: 18 percent Fee-based income |
Galápagos Submarine Cable | Private investment
for 25 years |
1-year construction
7-year investment recovery |
|
Capex: $50 million
IRR: 15 percent Fee-based income |
Caribbean Submarine Cable | Private investment for 25 years | 2-year construction
6.4-year investment recovery |
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Capex: $73.8 million
IRR: 18 percent Fee-based income |
3G/4G Rural Expansion | Private investment | 2021–2025 |
|
Capex: $63.9 million |
Passive Telecommunications Infrastructure | Sale | In operation | Divestment from public company | Infrastructure worth $165.57 million |
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Environment
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Vindobona Wastewater Treatment Center | PPP | 7-year construction |
|
Capex: $792.4 million |
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Culture
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Pumapungo Museum Restoration | PPP | 180-day construction |
|
Capex: $680,000 |
Rumicucho Historical Farm Restoration | PPP | 180-day construction |
|
Capex: $870,000 |
National Arts and Crafts School | PPP | 1-year construction |
|
Capex: $2.8 million |
Tourism-Oriented Archeological Sites | PPP | 1-year execution |
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Capex: $260,000 |
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Sports
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
High-Performance Athletes | PPP | 2021–2025 | Training and sponsoring 510 athletes | Estimated investment: $16.9 million |
Refurbishment of Sports Ministry’s Centers | PPP | 180-day construction |
|
Capex: $10.6 million |
Carpuela Sports Center Refurbishment | PPP | 1-year construction |
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Capex: $2.8 million |
National Fitness-Promotion Plan | PPP | 2021–2025 | Payment based on availability | Estimated investment: $7.23 million |
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Health
Project |
Contract |
Timeline |
Scope |
Details |
Nationwide Primary Health-Care Improvement | PPP | 4-year construction |
|
Capex + Opex: $910.4 million |
Nationwide Secondary and Tertiary Health-Care Improvement | PPP | 4-year construction |
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Capex + Opex: $565.74 million |
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Are there incentives for foreign investors?
1. Corporate Taxes:
- All foreign investors receive a five-year exemption on the corporate tax. The tax rate is 17 percent in Special Economic Development Zones and 25 percent in the rest of the country.
- In mining, forestry, and oil industries, investors can be exempted for up to 12 years.
- In PPP projects, the corporate-tax exemption lasts 10 years.
2. Investment projects of $250,000 and more are eligible for a special contract to access international arbitrage and get additional tax benefits.
3. No taxes on the repatriation of dividends or on loan repayments to foreign institutions.
4. Tax credit from local purchases of goods or services.
5. Import-tariff exemptions for goods related to the investment project.
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What is the main risk of investing in Ecuadorian PPPs?
A major factor undermining investor confidence is political risk. Strife between the executive and legislative branches remains unresolved. Besides social discontent over Lasso’s probusiness economic policies, local and US authorities are investigating former government officials for corruption, which could have political ramifications.
Although the executive branch is boosting private-sector participation and foreign investment, the country’s legislation rests on many years of central planning that has impeded development. Ecuador’s political class still needs to come together to reform labor and corporate laws to promote entrepreneurship, job creation, and access to credit.